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The end of an era: The supply of Russian gas to Europe through Ukraine has come to an end

Gazprom has stated that they are now deprived of the technical and legal means to continue supplying gas for transit via Ukraine. Ukraine refused to renew the contract and now is celebrating yet another "victory". What will this mean for the future of energy supply in Europe?

There are many losers and few winners in this situation. Europe will lose up to 10% of its annual energy consumption, with the most affected countries being the Eastern European countries outside of the EU - Moldavia, Transnistria and Ukraine. The latter will be deprived of both direct Russian gas supplies and the 1 billion dollars each year paid as a transit fee.

Russia will lose 5 billion dollars annually, but it will continue to supply Europe with gas via the TurkStream pipeline. However, the ties between Russia and Western Europe will be reduced, and the EU industrial sector will continue to crumble. Russia will become increasingly dependent on Turkey for its remaining southern pipelines, on LNG carriers and exports to China.

Militarily, this means that Sudzha has lost all - even symbolic - importance and the local gas measuring system is likely to be destroyed by the retreating AFU forces in the first half of 2025. However, it also means that Russia is no longer bound by contracts with Ukraine, and there are no restrictions on Russia's actions. The Ukrainian energy sector will be weaker than ever and will require Europe to reverse some of its gas supplies to Ukraine, further hurting the EU economy.

It's a lose-lose kind of situation for both Russia and EU, but it's clearly beneficial to US and Turkey. Which reinforces my belief that the fakest idea that was ever espoused was the idea of the "Unified West". In fact, there's a ever-growing economic war being waged by the US against EU and Russia and China and everyone else. And it's going to escalate under Trump in 2025.

It helps that the EU is a union run mostly by mouth-breathing morons and cowards. As Kaja Kallas famously said "There are now fewer electrical molecules in our energy sector, we need to reduce consumption". Putin's gravest mistake was to rely on these cretins. He thought that by binding them with contracts, he could achieve their silent support - and that it mattered. He was courting numerous EU politicians, dancing with Austrian ministers, winking at Le Pens. It was all pretty much useless.

I don't believe that Europe will literally "freeze". It's economy will be crippled, but what else is new. They will continue to enjoy relabeled Russian LNG, and the southern pipeline is working well so far. However, it will never be cheap and straightforward, as there will be additional costs and many intermediaries involved. It will not be enough to supply the periphery, such as Ukraine, Moldavia, and others. The war in Transnistria over the Cuciurgan power plant is now more likely than ever.

But there's another thing that no one talks about. American financier Stephen P. Lynch allegedly seeks to acquire the Swiss company that controls Russia's Nord Stream 2. It didn't enter operation, but was also damaged by our Anglo-American "partners". Let me quote the man himself:

Lynch argued that after the war ends, it will be “tempting for both Russia and its former customers in Germany and Europe to turn on the pipeline, regardless of who owns it,” the WSJ writes. According to the paper’s sources, the investor believes he could acquire the operator, valued at approximately $11 billion, for “pennies on the dollar.” He has also said that many investors will avoid bidding due to geopolitical risks, while other potential buyers many not align with U.S. interests.

The businessman told the WSJ that the pipeline’s auction is a “once-in-a-generation opportunity for American and European control over European energy supply for the rest of the fossil-fuel era.

Bravo. 7/10 :sisi:

Yawn

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Originariamente Scritto da Kurtz

ancora con queste puttanate.
è strapieno di simbologia nazista nell'est europa e in russia.
In russia il revanchismo che spinge sui 20 enni ha prodotto decine di libri tipo comrade hitler, e ci stupiamo delle toppe naziste sui soldati ucraini e russi?
c'era pushilin due anni fa che premiava dei soldati con la toppa delle totenkompf :rotfl: e poi però hanno i reparti misti coi nigeriani.

ma basta.

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è disperato poverino, lasciatelo stare :asd:

https://x.com/ultimoranet/status/1874498440266129761

“I condemn it because our guys are dying.”
Ukrainian EW expert Serhii “Flash” Beszkresnov says he condemns himself every day for not coming up with a solution to Russian fiber optic FPVs.
He noted that General Budanov “expects to come up with something.”


I droni guidati tramite fibra ottica stanno diventando sempre più un problema.

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status...72980422910227

Porcalaputtana :rotfl:

La NATO se la sogna una tecnologia simile :tsk:

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Originariamente Scritto da showa

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status...72980422910227

Porcalaputtana :rotfl:

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eh ma il problema sono i droni lanciafiamme che hanno fatto fallire l'economia mondiale semicit.

be', che nessuno dica che i soldati russi non si lavano. fanno il bagno pure mentre vanno in moto!

Se la WWII ha spinto la tecnologia missilistica queste guerre stanno spingendo molto su droni e veicoli remoti. In ambito civili c'è ancora poca innovazione, si usano sempre gli stessi modelli con lievi modifiche.

Il sidecar Pozzi-Ginori mi mancava :rotfl:

Rubavano le lavatrici ma ci facevano poco. Ora rubando le vasche possono direttamente riutilizzarle in guerra.
Questa è la mentalità pragmatica che li porterà a vincere questa e tutte le guerre future!
Siamo spacciati, arrendiamoci!!!

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Originariamente Scritto da Galf

è disperato poverino, lasciatelo stare :asd:

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Si guarda, vedere la gente che ha bevuto copium per tre anni impazzita per l'elezione di Trump e per il trionfo di Elon Musk mi sta distruggendo :asd:

E siamo ancora al 2 gennaio, non al 20 :lol:

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Originariamente Scritto da Galf

Blood ti rendi conto che sembri tipo il matto in metro che parla da solo sì?
Nessuno sta parlando di niente di particolare se non del fatto che ti sei inventato una crociata personale contro una cosa irrilevante, fallendo nel portare anche soltanto la minima prova oggettiva del tuo delirio, e stai collegando 10 droni (TUE parole, non mie - dieci droni) al fallimento del fronte orientale

Sottolineo, ripeto, che qui nessuno s'è mai sbrodolato su sti droni poi. Son solo stati postati i video.
ripijate

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Originariamente Scritto da Galf

eh ma il problema sono i droni lanciafiamme che hanno fatto fallire l'economia mondiale semicit.

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stavo per risponderti seriamente, meno male che hai deciso di autoeliminarti dialetticamente con la solita manfrina per nascondere il fatto che come al solito devi cagare sulla scacchiera per metterti in mostra, ciao

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GgRIqbQX...jpg&name=large

Miserabile pezzo di merda.

Non sarebbe il caso di spedirlo nella sua amata Russia?

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Originariamente Scritto da Zhuge

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GgRIqbQX...jpg&name=large

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Che insulso coglione :rotfl:

Se chiudono il gas basterà scaldarci bruciando il fatto quotidiano

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Originariamente Scritto da Necronomicon

Se chiudono il gas basterà scaldarci bruciando il fatto quotidiano

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Hai gia tutto il gas che ti serve.

Also: https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1874836593384505367